Seed against finish
How far each seed in the FIE’s tableau goes, and who beats theirs, in 840 individual junior events, 2014 to 2026.
How far each seed goes
| Seed | Last 16 | Last 8 | Final | Won | Fencers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 74% | 55% | 21% | 12% | 1,928 |
| 5–8 | 67% | 43% | 9% | 5% | 2,137 |
| 9–16 | 55% | 24% | 5% | 2% | 4,483 |
| 17–32 | 26% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 9,306 |
| 33–64 | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 16,321 |
| 65 and below | 9% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 31,544 |
Where the lower seed wins
| Round | Lower seed wins | Bouts |
|---|---|---|
| Table of 256 | 39% | 3,761 |
| Table of 128 | 39% | 19,577 |
| Table of 64 | 43% | 17,438 |
| Table of 32 | 44% | 11,780 |
| Table of 16 | 44% | 6,461 |
| Quarter-finals | 46% | 3,352 |
| Semi-finals | 46% | 1,681 |
| Final | 48% | 840 |
Who finishes above their seed
Fencers seeded in at least 10 junior events, by how many places above their seed they finish on average. The middle of their events is beside it: one deep run from a low seed in a big field lifts an average, not the middle.
| # | Fencer | Nation | On average | In the middle | Above their seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amir FAKHRETDINOV | 🇷🇺 RUS | +125.1 | +149.0 | in 10 of 12 events |
| 2 | Jan SOCHA | 🇵🇱 POL | +123.1 | +127.5 | in 9 of 10 events |
| 3 | Ettore LEPORATI | 🇮🇹 ITA | +112.5 | +117.5 | in 10 of 12 events |
| 4 | Eliot CHAGNON | 🇫🇷 FRA | +110.7 | +129.0 | in 14 of 19 events |
| 5 | Wael ABDELJALIL | 🇫🇷 FRA | +108.8 | +122.5 | in 8 of 10 events |
| 6 | Simon LIOZNYANSKY | 🇺🇸 USA | +105.5 | +64.0 | in 12 of 12 events |
| 7 | Szymon WOJCIECHOWSKI | 🇵🇱 POL | +104.9 | +110.0 | in 15 of 20 events |
| 8 | Luidgi MIDELTON | 🇫🇷 FRA | +104.8 | +93.0 | in 11 of 14 events |
| 9 | Christopher KELLY | 🇸🇪 SWE | +104.4 | +125.0 | in 11 of 13 events |
| 10 | Mikhail SPIRIN | 🇷🇺 RUS | +102.5 | +88.0 | in 9 of 10 events |
| 11 | Davide DI VEROLI | 🇮🇹 ITA | +102.2 | +74.5 | in 12 of 14 events |
| 12 | Issa BAYRAM | 🇫🇷 FRA | +101.8 | +138.0 | in 8 of 11 events |
| 13 | Matteo GALASSI | 🇮🇹 ITA | +101.2 | +108.0 | in 16 of 21 events |
| 14 | Enrico PIATTI | 🇮🇹 ITA | +100.7 | +53.0 | in 10 of 12 events |
| 15 | Edoardo REALE | 🇮🇹 ITA | +100.4 | +92.0 | in 15 of 17 events |
| 16 | Georgiy BRUEV | 🇷🇺 RUS | +100.0 | +92.0 | in 21 of 21 events |
| 17 | Botond BANYAI | 🇭🇺 HUN | +98.6 | +99.0 | in 11 of 13 events |
| 18 | Wiktor WALACH | 🇵🇱 POL | +96.9 | +91.5 | in 7 of 10 events |
| 19 | Mikolaj ADAMCZYK | 🇵🇱 POL | +96.5 | +106.0 | in 9 of 13 events |
| 20 | Yonatan COHEN | 🇮🇱 ISR | +95.9 | +80.5 | in 11 of 16 events |
| 21 | Joe DONAGHUE | 🇬🇧 GBR | +95.8 | +93.0 | in 7 of 10 events |
| 22 | Gergely SIKLOSI | 🇭🇺 HUN | +95.7 | +104.0 | in 12 of 16 events |
| 23 | Maxime DUBREUIL | 🇫🇷 FRA | +95.3 | +117.0 | in 9 of 13 events |
| 24 | Tristan LUMINEAU | 🇬🇧 GBR | +95.3 | +78.0 | in 9 of 10 events |
| 25 | Miles WEISS | 🇺🇸 USA | +95.1 | +94.5 | in 8 of 10 events |
Nations
| # | Nation | On average | In the middle | Above their seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇮🇹 Italy | +36.1 | +8.0 | in 2,725 of 4,467 entries |
| 2 | 🇨🇳 China | +35.8 | +7.0 | in 736 of 1,184 entries |
| 3 | 🇷🇺 Russia | +34.4 | +9.0 | in 1,964 of 3,113 entries |
| 4 | 🇺🇸 United States | +33.6 | +7.0 | in 2,381 of 3,949 entries |
| 5 | 🇭🇺 Hungary | +31.0 | +3.0 | in 1,766 of 3,251 entries |
| 6 | 🇫🇷 France | +30.8 | +5.0 | in 2,354 of 4,173 entries |
| 7 | 🇪🇪 Estonia | +29.3 | +2.0 | in 276 of 529 entries |
| 8 | 🇮🇱 Israel | +28.7 | +3.0 | in 417 of 785 entries |
| 9 | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | +25.3 | 0.0 | in 632 of 1,273 entries |
| 10 | 🇰🇷 South Korea | +23.4 | +4.0 | in 447 of 759 entries |
| 11 | 🇳🇴 Norway | +23.2 | −1.0 | in 127 of 273 entries |
| 12 | 🇵🇱 Poland | +22.6 | 0.0 | in 1,418 of 2,892 entries |
| 13 | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | +22.5 | 0.0 | in 915 of 1,892 entries |
| 14 | 🇭🇰 Hong Kong SAR China | +21.7 | 0.0 | in 646 of 1,304 entries |
| 15 | 🇯🇵 Japan | +21.7 | +2.0 | in 841 of 1,607 entries |
| 16 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | +21.6 | 0.0 | in 200 of 434 entries |
| 17 | 🇸🇪 Sweden | +21.2 | 0.0 | in 312 of 695 entries |
| 18 | 🇩🇪 Germany | +19.8 | 0.0 | in 1,631 of 3,487 entries |
| 19 | 🇹🇷 Türkiye | +19.0 | 0.0 | in 566 of 1,243 entries |
| 20 | 🇨🇦 Canada | +18.8 | 0.0 | in 594 of 1,191 entries |
Every FIE event whose tableau is kept here. A fencer’s seed is the one in the last table they reached; team events don’t count.